A certain presidential candidate has been very popular lately. he appeared on Joe Rogan’s Podcast, House Republicans invited him testify before congress on censorship. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, also a Republican, has suggested that if he became president, he might nominate her Leading the Food and Drug Administration or the Centers for Disease Control. GOP presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy said he would consider them his running mate,

the only problem? This candidate is contesting democratic primary.

Robert F. They’ve Been Contradictory Ever Since Kennedy Jr. announced his presidential campaign Back in April. Although he is part of the most famous family in Democratic politics and holds some liberal views – such as support abortion rights – He is best known for his espouse conspiracy theories Most popular on the right, including the idea that vaccines are unsafe. This has made him a celebrity among conservative thought leaders persona non grata within the Democratic Party. The head of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee even called him “ineligible for public office,

The mixed opinion of Kennedy extends to voters—he is popular among Republicans, but Democrats are highly ambivalent about him. Eight polls since July 1 have asked about Kennedy’s favorable and unfavorable ratings, and in seven of them, Kennedy’s net favorability rating among Republicans is higher than among Democrats.

Republicans Like RFK Jr. More Than Democrats

Surveys of favorable and unfavorable ratings of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. among Democrats and Republicans were conducted from July 1, 2023 through August 3 at 12 noon.

elector Dates pop. Favorite. Unfav. Net Favorite. Unfav. Net
marquette law July 7-12 RV 29% 37% -8 48% 19% +29
Ipsos/Reuters July 11-17 A 52 42 +10 62 30 +32
Quinnipiac July 13-17 RV 21 47 -26 48 22 +26
newsnation July 17-18 RV 40 37 +3 52 23 +29
Harris/Harvard July 19-20 RV 51 26 +25 46 26 +20
morning consultation July 20-22 lv 38 41 -3 50 27 +23
New York Times/Siena College July 23-27 RV 22 53 -31 54 18 +36
ladder insight July 24-27 lv 31 44 -13 50 20 +30
average 36 41 -5 51 23 +28

Source: opinion poll

Five polls found that more Democrats had an unfavorable opinion of Kennedy than a favorable one—but not every poll saw it that way. For example, Harris Poll/HarrisX/Harvard Center for American Political Studies Whereas, Kennedy was given a +25-point net favorability rating among Democrats. Quinnipiac University Put him at -26 points.

It’s hard to know what’s going on here. One hypothesis could be that those two pollsters surveyed very different types of Democrats: perhaps Quinnipiac reached a population that was more politically engaged than Harris, and more familiar with Kennedy’s controversial views. . It’s worth noting that the table above includes two phone polls, Quinnipiac and New York Times/Siena College, were the two worst for Kennedy among Democrats. and third worst, was one of two possible voter polls in the group ladder insight, (More active voters are more likely to answer phone surveys and call themselves potential voters.)

But one thing pollsters have consistently found is that Democratic voters are angry with Kennedy. Morning Consult, Harris, Quinnipiac, Echelon Insights, and Marquette all found a decrease in Kennedy’s net favorability among Democrats since their last polls conducted in May or June (though in Marquette’s case, the decrease was so small as to be considered a margin of error). was within the margin).

RFK Jr. Is Becoming Less Popular Among Democrats

Surveys of Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s net favorability ratings (favorable ratings minus unfavorable ratings) among Democrats in July 2023 were compared to a previous survey by the same pollster conducted in May or June.

elector pop. may or june july Change
ladder insight lv +8 -13 -21
Harris/Harvard RV +31 +25 -6
marquette law RV -7 -8 -1
morning consultation lv +16 -3 -19
Quinnipiac RV -14 -26 -12
average +7 -5 -12

Source: opinion poll

It has a certain meaning. When Kennedy first jumped into the primary, many Democrats who liked the cut of his jibe were basing their opinions on his name and his family’s reputation. according to a SSRS/CNN Poll By May, a plurality (20 percent) of Democrats said they would consider supporting Kennedy, saying it was because of Kennedy’s name and his family ties. Many of these voters may not be familiar with his conspiratorial views. But as Kennedy received more media coverage and voters learned more about him, they may have developed more unfavorable opinions.

Running against the incumbent president, Kennedy already faced long odds in the Democratic primary. In terms of support, they’ve actually held steady about 15 percent throughout the year national polling average of five thirty eight, But in order to improve that, he needs Democratic voters who like him, and that doesn’t seem to be happening — plus, things are headed in the wrong direction for him. Based on these numbers, if Kennedy is serious about becoming president, he should consider switching parties.

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